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Finance · Open for opinions

Will the commercial dollar end 2026 below R$ 5.00?

On 10/21/2026, the dollar was trading at R$ 5.019, down slightly. 81 opinions, 65% No

  • Yes — 35%
  • No — 65%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 81 opinions

Resolution rules

On 10/21/2026, the dollar was trading at R$ 5.019, down slightly. The exchange rate is influenced by the earnings season, external scenario (China and USA), and domestic risk dynamics.

Source: www.portaldoagronegocio.com.br

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolução 'Sim' se a taxa de câmbio do dólar comercial (venda) divulgada pelo Banco Central do Brasil (ptax de fechamento) no último dia útil de 2026 for inferior a R$ 5,00. Resolução 'Não' caso a ptax seja igual ou superior a R$ 5,00.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 65% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 35 points, a wrong one costs about 65.

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