Science · Open for opinions
Which space agency or company will lead the first crewed mission to Mars?
An October 2026 study reinforced the medical feasibility of missions to Mars. 87 opinions, 40% SpaceX
- NASA — 30%
- SpaceX — 40%
- International joint space agency — 10%
- China (CNSA) — 15%
- Other — 5%
Deadline: April 26, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 87 opinions
Resolution rules
An October 2026 study reinforced the medical feasibility of missions to Mars. SpaceX and NASA are the most publicly advanced actors, while China is accelerating its space program. The race to Mars involves multiple global players.
Source: www.sciencedaily.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve com a opção correspondente à agência ou empresa que realizar o primeiro lançamento tripulado com destino confirmado a Marte, conforme anúncio oficial e cobertura de veículos científicos reconhecidos (Nature, Science, NASA.gov, ESA.int). Mercado será encerrado antecipadamente caso haja lançamento confirmado antes de 26/04/2027.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now SpaceX has 40% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 60 points, a wrong one costs about 40.