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Finance · Open for opinions

Will the US Dollar (USD/BRL) exceed R$ 5.60 by October 31, 2026?

The dollar is quoted at R$ 5.2204, with an upward trend driven by tensions in the Middle East, rising oil prices, and uncertainty… 74 opinions, 70% No

  • Yes — 30%
  • No — 70%

Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 74 opinions

Resolution rules

The dollar is quoted at R$ 5.2204, with an upward trend driven by tensions in the Middle East, rising oil prices, and uncertainty surrounding the Brazilian elections and the US Payroll.

Source: bolsaemercado.com.br

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolvido como 'Sim' se a taxa de câmbio PTAX do Banco Central do Brasil (bcb.gov.br) registrar cotação de venda igual ou superior a R$ 5,60 em qualquer data até 31/10/2026.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 70% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 30 points, a wrong one costs about 70.

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Will the US Dollar (USD/BRL) exceed R$ 5.60 by October 31, 2026? — 70% No · VoxFi