Science · Open for opinions
Will the computational model explaining the formation of the Arsia Mons Elongated Cloud (AMEC) on Mars be independently replicated by another scientific team by April 2027?
In October 2026, researchers led by Jorge Hernández-Bernal published a new model to explain the Arsia Mons Elongated Cloud (AMEC), a… 78 opinions, 88% No
- Yes — 12%
- No — 88%
Deadline: April 9, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 78 opinions
Resolution rules
In October 2026, researchers led by Jorge Hernández-Bernal published a new model to explain the Arsia Mons Elongated Cloud (AMEC), a water-ice cloud on Mars that grows and disappears daily. The model required incorporating theoretical 'exotic physics' never observed in nature to
Source: www.discovermagazine.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se uma equipe científica independente dos autores originais publicar, em revista revisada por pares indexada no NASA ADS ou Google Scholar, um estudo confirmando a replicação do modelo AMEC com a 'física exótica' descrita no artigo original de outubro de 2026. Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 88% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 12 points, a wrong one costs about 88.