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Will a new scientific study published in a peer-reviewed journal confirm signs of recent volcanic activity on Mars by April 2027?

In November 2026, ESA's ExoMars Trace Gas Orbiter detected a possible signal of hydrogen chloride gas escaping from fissures in the… 89 opinions, 55% No

  • Yes — 45%
  • No — 55%

Deadline: March 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 89 opinions

Resolution rules

In November 2026, ESA's ExoMars Trace Gas Orbiter detected a possible signal of hydrogen chloride gas escaping from fissures in the Alba Mons region, suggesting active magma beneath the Martian surface—the strongest evidence yet of gases released by dormant volcanoes on Mars, according to a study

Source: www.livescience.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolução positiva se artigo publicado em periódico científico indexado (como Nature, Science, Science Advances, Icarus ou equivalente) confirmar, com base em novas análises ou dados de missões ativas, evidências de vulcanismo recente em Marte. A publicação deve ser posterior a 2026-11-05 e anterior a 2027-04-01. Fonte verificável via DOI público.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 55% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 45 points, a wrong one costs about 55.

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Will a new scientific study published in a peer-reviewed journal… — 55% No · VoxFi