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Finance · Open for opinions

Will Copom cut the Selic rate at the first meeting after the October 2026 elections?

The Central Bank cut Selic from 14% to 13.75% per year in September 2026, a meeting described as the last cut before the election. 38 opinions, 61% No

  • Yes — 39%
  • No — 61%

Deadline: December 18, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 38 opinions

Resolution rules

The Central Bank cut Selic from 14% to 13.75% per year in September 2026, a meeting described as the last cut before the election. The easing cycle and post-election environment set the scenario for the next decision.

Source: noticias.uol.com.br

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolução com base na decisão oficial publicada pelo Banco Central do Brasil na ata da primeira reunião do Comitê de Política Monetária (Copom) realizada após as eleições de outubro de 2026. Se a taxa Selic for reduzida em relação a 13,75% ao ano, resolve 'Sim'; caso contrário, 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 61% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 39 points, a wrong one costs about 61.

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