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Science · Open for opinions

Will any private company formally announce a mission dedicated exclusively to pure science beyond Earth's orbit by February 2027?

Space science experts point out that, so far, no commercial company has actively pursued serious scientific missions beyond Earth. 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: February 17, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

Space science experts point out that, so far, no commercial company has actively pursued serious scientific missions beyond Earth. The debate about the role of the private sector in pure space science is on the rise, especially in light of cuts to government agencies.

Source: payloadspace.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolução positiva se uma empresa privada publicar press release oficial ou fizer apresentação pública anunciando missão cujo objetivo primário seja ciência básica (não comercial) além da órbita terrestre, confirmado por veículo especializado como Payload Space (payloadspace.com) ou Space News, até 2027-02-17. Resolução negativa caso nenhum anúncio desse tipo ocorra até essa data.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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Will any private company formally announce a mission dedicated… — 50% Yes · VoxFi