World · Open for opinions
Will any appeal regarding the regulation of Kalshi or Polymarket be filed with the US Supreme Court by November 30, 2026?
Disagreements among US appellate courts increase the likelihood of a Supreme Court review. 76 opinions, 61% No
- Yes — 39%
- No — 61%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 76 opinions
Resolution rules
Disagreements among US appellate courts increase the likelihood of a Supreme Court review.
Source: www.ccn.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 04/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 30/11/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se for protocolada petição de recurso (certiorari) perante a Suprema Corte dos EUA envolvendo disputas regulatórias da Kalshi, Polymarket ou CFTC até 30/11/2026, conforme docket no site oficial supremecourt.gov. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 61% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 39 points, a wrong one costs about 61.