Finance · Open for opinions
Will Brazil's gross public debt exceed 85% of GDP by December 2026?
Economists surveyed by the Central Bank project that Brazil's public debt, currently at 82.5% of GDP, will continue to grow. 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: January 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
Economists surveyed by the Central Bank project that Brazil's public debt, currently at 82.5% of GDP, will continue to grow. The market forecasts that the debt will surpass the size of the economy in 2034, but monitoring intermediate milestones is relevant to assess the fiscal trajectory.
Source: www.estadao.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução com base no dado oficial da relação Dívida Bruta do Governo Geral/PIB publicado pelo Banco Central do Brasil na Nota de Política Fiscal referente a dezembro de 2026. Atualmente em 82,5% conforme projeções de economistas coletadas pelo Banco Central.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.