Science · Open for opinions
Will the Thwaites Glacier have a major iceberg calving confirmed by November 30, 2026?
Considers satellite data on the Antarctic glacier shelf breakup between 10/27 and 11/30. 87 opinions, 66% No
- Yes — 34%
- No — 66%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 87 opinions
Resolution rules
Considers satellite data on the Antarctic glacier shelf breakup between 10/27 and 11/30.
Source: www.newscientist.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 27/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 30/11/2026 (23:59). Resolve como 'Sim' se o National Ice Center dos EUA (USNIC) ou a Agência Espacial Europeia (ESA) confirmarem o desprendimento (calving) de um iceberg nomeado a partir da plataforma de gelo do Glaciar Thwaites até 30/11/2026. Fatos anteriores não contam. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 66% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 34 points, a wrong one costs about 66.