Finance · Open for opinions
Will the commercial dollar (USD/BRL) close below R$5.00 at the end of October 2026?
The dollar plummeted more than 4% and reached R$4.99 according to Valor Data, reflecting the market's reaction to the rise of… 76 opinions, 55% No
- Yes — 45%
- No — 55%
Deadline: October 30, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 76 opinions
Resolution rules
The dollar plummeted more than 4% and reached R$4.99 according to Valor Data, reflecting the market's reaction to the rise of Bolsonarism in electoral polls. The movement raises doubts about the sustainability of this level below R$5.00.
Source: valor.globo.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução com base na cotação de fechamento do dólar comercial (USD/BRL) na última sessão de outubro de 2026 (30/10/2026), conforme divulgado pelo Banco Central do Brasil (bcb.gov.br — taxa PTAX de venda). Resolve 'Sim' se a PTAX de venda for inferior a R$5,00.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 55% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 45 points, a wrong one costs about 55.