Finance · Open for opinions
Will the Ibovespa close the month of October 2026 with a positive return?
The financial market projects a potential rally on the Brazilian stock exchange during the October electoral period. 74 opinions, 55% Yes
- Yes — 55%
- No — 45%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 74 opinions
Resolution rules
The financial market projects a potential rally on the Brazilian stock exchange during the October electoral period.
Source: valor.globo.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 02/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se o Índice Bovespa (IBOV) registrar variação percentual acumulada estritamente positiva no mês de outubro de 2026, conforme dados oficiais de fechamento divulgados pela B3 no encerramento do último pregão do mês (30/10/2026). Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 55% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 45 points, a wrong one costs about 55.