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Politics · Open for opinions

Will the Republican Party win the Texas Senate race on 11/03/2026?

The Texas seat is one of the most heavily traded U.S. 79 opinions, 62% Yes

  • Yes — 62%
  • No — 38%

Deadline: November 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 79 opinions

Resolution rules

The Texas seat is one of the most heavily traded U.S. Senate races on prediction platforms.

Source: vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve como 'Sim' se o candidato republicano for formalmente certificado como eleito na disputa pelo Senado dos EUA no Texas em 03/11/2026, conforme proclamação oficial da Secretaria de Estado do Texas ou projeção consensual das agências AP e Reuters até 03/11/2026. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 62% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 38 points, a wrong one costs about 62.

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