Politics · Open for opinions
Who will have the highest probability of being the Democratic nominee for US President in 2028 according to Polymarket on March 15, 2027?
The 2028 Democratic nomination market recorded a volume of $1.1 million in 24 hours on Polymarket, with AOC leading at 19%,… 36 opinions, 31% Other
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez — 22%
- Gavin Newsom — 19%
- Jon Ossoff — 19%
- Kamala Harris — 8%
- Other — 31%
Deadline: March 15, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 36 opinions
Resolution rules
The 2028 Democratic nomination market recorded a volume of $1.1 million in 24 hours on Polymarket, with AOC leading at 19%, followed by Gavin Newsom (17%) and Jon Ossoff (16%), reflecting an intense contest for the party's progressive wing.
Source: defirate.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve com base no candidato democrata para 2028 que tiver a maior probabilidade listada no Polymarket (polymarket.com) na data de 15 de março de 2027 às 23h59 UTC. Em caso de indisponibilidade do Polymarket, usar Kalshi como fonte alternativa.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Other has 31% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 69 points, a wrong one costs about 31.