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Technology · Open for opinions

Will Polymarket face formal regulatory action in the US related to allegations of insider trading involving 152 wallets by February 2027?

A Haaretz report and Benzinga analysis indicated that 152 suspected wallets would have profited about $8 million trading military… 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: February 15, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

A Haaretz report and Benzinga analysis indicated that 152 suspected wallets would have profited about $8 million trading military markets on Polymarket before information became public, sparking debate about insider trading and regulation of prediction platforms.

Source: finance.yahoo.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve 'Sim' se uma agência regulatória americana (CFTC, SEC ou DOJ) anunciar formalmente investigação, indiciamento ou processo contra o Polymarket ou operadores identificados especificamente ligados ao episódio das 152 carteiras que teriam lucrado US$8 milhões em mercados militares americanos. Resolve 'Não' caso nenhuma ação formal seja anunciada até a data de encerramento. Fonte: comunicados oficiais das agências e cobertura de veículos como Reuters, Bloomberg ou Yahoo Finance.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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