Science · Open for opinions
Will the uncertainty in the measurement of primordial helium abundance (Yp) be reduced below 0.3% in any study published by April 2027?
The study released in October 2026 established a new precision record with a 0.5% uncertainty in primordial helium measurement using… 81 opinions, 85% No
- Yes — 15%
- No — 85%
Deadline: April 20, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 81 opinions
Resolution rules
The study released in October 2026 established a new precision record with a 0.5% uncertainty in primordial helium measurement using the Large Binocular Telescope. The scientific community seeks to further refine this fundamental value for cosmology.
Source: www.sciencedaily.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução 'Sim' se um artigo científico revisado por pares publicado até 2027-04-20 reportar incerteza estatística na medição de Yp inferior a 0,3%. Verificável via NASA ADS (ui.adsabs.harvard.edu) ou portal do The Astrophysical Journal.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 85% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 15 points, a wrong one costs about 85.