Politics · Open for opinions
Will the Democratic Party regain a majority in the U.S. House of Representatives in the November 2026 midterm elections?
Prediction markets such as Kalshi and Polymarket are highly active in U.S. 21 opinions, 52% No
- Yes — 48%
- No — 52%
Deadline: November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 21 opinions
Resolution rules
Prediction markets such as Kalshi and Polymarket are highly active in U.S. midterm election markets in August 2026, making this the most traded political event on the platforms.
Source: sailgp.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se a Associated Press ou a NBC News declarar oficialmente que o Partido Democrata elegeu pelo menos 218 representantes nas eleições de 4 de novembro de 2026, garantindo a maioria na Câmara. Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 52% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 48 points, a wrong one costs about 52.