Finance · Open for opinions
Will the combined monthly volume of Kalshi and Polymarket exceed $80 billion in October 2026?
Measures whether the monthly record of trading volume on the main platforms will continue to rise in October [0, 4]. 85 opinions, 60% Yes
- Yes — 60%
- No — 40%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 85 opinions
Resolution rules
Measures whether the monthly record of trading volume on the main platforms will continue to rise in October [0, 4].
Source: vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se a soma do volume financeiro mensal negociado em outubro de 2026 na Kalshi e Polymarket ultrapassar 80 bilhões de dólares até 30/11/2026, conforme dados consolidados publicados pelo The Block Data Dashboard ou relatórios setoriais da Piper Sandler. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 60% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 40 points, a wrong one costs about 60.