Finance · Open for opinions
Will the 10-year US Treasury yield close below 4.00% on any trading day through November 30, 2026?
Considers the closing rate of the 10-year Treasuries between October 27 and November 30, 2026. 87 opinions, 57% No
- Yes — 43%
- No — 57%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 87 opinions
Resolution rules
Considers the closing rate of the 10-year Treasuries between October 27 and November 30, 2026.
Source: valor.globo.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 27/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 30/11/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a taxa de rendimento (yield) dos títulos de 10 anos do Tesouro dos EUA fechar abaixo de 4,00% ao ano em qualquer pregão oficial até 30/11/2026, conforme dados oficiais do Departamento do Tesouro dos EUA ou Bloomberg. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 57% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 43 points, a wrong one costs about 57.