World · Open for opinions
Will US inflation (annual CPI) be above 3% in December 2026?
US inflation has been above the Fed's 2% target for five years. 40 opinions, 78% Yes
- Yes — 78%
- No — 23%
Deadline: January 15, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 40 opinions
Resolution rules
US inflation has been above the Fed's 2% target for five years. The war with Iran has put upward pressure on energy prices and government bonds, making it harder for inflation to converge toward the target.
Source: www.houstonpublicmedia.org
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o índice CPI (Consumer Price Index) anual dos EUA divulgado pelo Bureau of Labor Statistics (bls.gov) referente a dezembro de 2026 for superior a 3,0%. Resolve como 'Não' caso contrário.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 78% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 22 points, a wrong one costs about 78.