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Politics · Open for opinions

Will the 'Centrão' formally support the Lula government by the end of October 2026?

According to Carta Capital, the Centrão remained neutral during the last election and now is considering joining a possible Lula… 24 opinions, 58% No

  • Yes — 42%
  • No — 58%

Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 24 opinions

Resolution rules

According to Carta Capital, the Centrão remained neutral during the last election and now is considering joining a possible Lula government, which could reshape the dynamics of parliamentary support in Congress.

Source: www.cartacapital.com.br

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve como 'Sim' se ao menos dois dos principais partidos do Centrão (PP, Republicanos, União Brasil ou PSD) anunciarem formalmente adesão à base governista do presidente Lula até 31/10/2026, conforme notícia veiculada por ao menos dois veículos de imprensa de referência (Folha, Estadão, G1 ou Poder360).

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 58% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 42 points, a wrong one costs about 58.

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Will the 'Centrão' formally support the Lula government by the end… — 58% No · VoxFi