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Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least once by the end of 2026?

Trump has publicly stated that he would like to see interest rates fall, but the Fed signals that it will only cut when inflation… 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: December 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

Trump has publicly stated that he would like to see interest rates fall, but the Fed signals that it will only cut when inflation converges to the 2% target. The tension between the White House and the Fed defines the American economic debate.

Source: www.facebook.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve como 'Sim' se o Federal Reserve anunciar ao menos uma redução na taxa dos Fed Funds em qualquer reunião do FOMC entre hoje (06/09/2026) e 31/12/2026, conforme comunicado oficial publicado em federalreserve.gov. Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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