Politics · Open for opinions
Will the US House pass the bill banning candidates from betting on their own elections by 11/30/2026?
Bill introduced after penalties against candidates who traded on prediction platforms [2]. 77 opinions, 64% No
- Yes — 36%
- No — 64%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 77 opinions
Resolution rules
Bill introduced after penalties against candidates who traded on prediction platforms [2].
Source: bonus.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 07/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 30/11/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a Câmara dos Representantes dos EUA aprovar em plenário o projeto de lei de autoria do deputado Don Davis que proíbe candidatos de apostarem em suas próprias eleições até 30/11/2026, conforme dados do sistema legislativo oficial Congress.gov. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 64% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 36 points, a wrong one costs about 64.