World · Open for opinions
Will the US issue new AI export control rules against China by November 30, 2026?
Consider the enactment of new formal technological restrictions between October 12 and November 30 amid the artificial intelligence… 79 opinions, 59% Yes
- Yes — 59%
- No — 41%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 79 opinions
Resolution rules
Consider the enactment of new formal technological restrictions between October 12 and November 30 amid the artificial intelligence dispute.
Source: www.reuters.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 12/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 30/11/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se o Departamento de Comércio dos EUA (BIS) ou a Casa Branca publicar nova norma formal de controle de exportação sobre tecnologias de IA visando a China até 30/11/2026, conforme registro no Federal Register ou comunicado oficial do governo dos EUA. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 59% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 41 points, a wrong one costs about 59.