Technology · Open for opinions
Will OpenAI officially launch a new frontier model (GPT-5 or higher version) by December 31, 2026?
In September 2026, OpenAI and Anthropic launched eight models in 29 days, accelerating the AI race. 78 opinions, 78% Yes
- Yes — 78%
- No — 22%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 78 opinions
Resolution rules
In September 2026, OpenAI and Anthropic launched eight models in 29 days, accelerating the AI race. The market is determining whether OpenAI will launch its next frontier model still in 2026.
Source: exame.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução baseada em publicação oficial no blog da OpenAI (openai.com/blog) anunciando o lançamento — mesmo que limitado ou em acesso antecipado — de modelo identificado como GPT-5 ou de geração superior até 31/12/2026.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 78% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 22 points, a wrong one costs about 78.