Finance · Open for opinions
Will the CFTC (U.S. federal regulator) issue a rule to protect prediction markets from state regulation by the end of 2026?
The Trump administration and the CFTC have expressed support for Kalshi and Polymarket as states seek to regulate or ban the… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
The Trump administration and the CFTC have expressed support for Kalshi and Polymarket as states seek to regulate or ban the platforms. The August 2026 court ruling increases pressure for a federal response.
Source: www.gulfcoastnewsnow.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se a CFTC publicar no Federal Register, até 31/12/2026, regra final ou proposta de norma com força de lei que limite expressamente a capacidade dos estados de proibir ou regular como jogo plataformas como Kalshi e Polymarket. Resolve 'Não' caso contrário.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.