World · Open for opinions
Will the Federal Reserve (Fed) cut interest rates at least once before December 31, 2026?
With US inflation at 3.4% per year—well above the 2% target—and financial market instability reported in September 2026, analysts are… 70 opinions, 71% No
- Yes — 29%
- No — 71%
Deadline: December 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 70 opinions
Resolution rules
With US inflation at 3.4% per year—well above the 2% target—and financial market instability reported in September 2026, analysts are debating whether the Fed will have room to ease monetary policy later this year.
Source: www.nytimes.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolvido com base nas decisões de política monetária divulgadas pelo Federal Reserve (federalreserve.gov). Resolve 'Sim' se o Fed anunciar pelo menos um corte na taxa dos Fed Funds antes de 31 de dezembro de 2026.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 71% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 29 points, a wrong one costs about 71.