Finance · Open for opinions
Will another US state follow Missouri and issue a regulatory order against prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) by February 2027?
Missouri became the first state to issue a formal order against prediction market operators such as Kalshi and Polymarket for… 39 opinions, 56% Yes
- Yes — 56%
- No — 44%
Deadline: February 28, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 39 opinions
Resolution rules
Missouri became the first state to issue a formal order against prediction market operators such as Kalshi and Polymarket for unlicensed sports betting, setting a potential national regulatory precedent.
Source: www.instagram.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução 'Sim' se ao menos um procurador-geral ou órgão regulador de outro estado dos EUA (diferente do Missouri) emitir formalmente ordem de cessação de operações ou ação regulatória contra Polymarket, Kalshi ou plataforma similar de mercados de previsão, conforme comunicado oficial publicado até 2027-02-28. 'Não' caso contrário.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 56% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 44 points, a wrong one costs about 56.