Politics · Open for opinions
Will Karen Bass win the Los Angeles mayoral election in November 2026?
Prediction markets like Kalshi price a Bass victory contract in the Los Angeles mayoral race at about 65 cents (65% probability),… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 15, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
Prediction markets like Kalshi price a Bass victory contract in the Los Angeles mayoral race at about 65 cents (65% probability), following the impact of fake election polls that briefly moved the market.
Source: www.pbs.org
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se Karen Bass for declarada oficialmente vencedora da eleição para prefeita de Los Angeles pelo Los Angeles City Clerk até 2026-12-15. Fonte: resultados oficiais divulgados pelo Los Angeles City Clerk (clerk.lacity.gov).
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.