Technology · Open for opinions
What will be the predominant approach to AI regulation in the US by the end of 2026?
Trump announced a voluntary self-regulation agreement with big tech AI companies,… 79 opinions, 68% Voluntary self-regulation by big tech (no federal law)
- Voluntary self-regulation by big tech (no federal law) — 68%
- Mandatory federal law passed by Congress — 5%
- Patchwork of state laws with no federal law — 27%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 79 opinions
Resolution rules
Trump announced a voluntary self-regulation agreement with big tech AI companies, rejecting strict legal limits. Simultaneously, states like California are advancing their own legislation, while executives like Brad Smith (Microsoft) and Sam Altman (OpenAI) diverge on the level of control needed.
Source: agenciabrasil.ebc.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução em 31/12/2026 com base no status oficial da regulação de IA nos EUA: se o acordo voluntário anunciado por Trump seguir como único mecanismo vigente sem lei federal aprovada, resolve em 'Autorregulação voluntária'; se lei federal for sancionada, resolve em 'Lei federal obrigatória'; se apenas leis estaduais existirem sem lei federal, resolve em 'Patchwork'. Fontes: congress.gov e comunicados oficiais da Casa Branca.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Voluntary self-regulation by big tech (no federal law) has 68% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 32 points, a wrong one costs about 68.