Finance · Open for opinions
Will the total trading volume in global prediction markets (Polymarket + Kalshi combined) exceed $40 billion by December 31, 2026?
The combined volume of Polymarket and Kalshi jumped from less than $5 billion to approximately $24 billion in less than a year,… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
The combined volume of Polymarket and Kalshi jumped from less than $5 billion to approximately $24 billion in less than a year, indicating rapid growth of the sector.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se relatórios públicos ou comunicados oficiais de Polymarket e Kalshi, ou análises de fontes como Dune Analytics ou CryptoRank, indicarem volume combinado acumulado no ano de 2026 superior a US$ 40 bilhões até 31/12/2026.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.