Finance · Open for opinions
Will the cumulative volume of prediction markets for the US elections exceed $300 million by 11/30/2026?
Volume has already surpassed $221 million and analysts are monitoring whether the $300 million mark will be reached by the end of… 89 opinions, 60% Yes
- Yes — 60%
- No — 40%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 89 opinions
Resolution rules
Volume has already surpassed $221 million and analysts are monitoring whether the $300 million mark will be reached by the end of the election.
Source: vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 31/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 30/11/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se relatórios da Anti-Corruption Data Collective ou dados combinados de Polymarket e Kalshi registrarem volume transacionado superior a US$ 300 milhões em contratos das eleições legislativas de 2026 até 30/11/2026. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 60% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 40 points, a wrong one costs about 60.