World · Open for opinions
Will the US Federal Reserve cut the benchmark interest rate at least once by the end of 2026?
With US inflation above 2% and Treasury yields rising since June 2026, there is intense debate about when the Fed might start… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
With US inflation above 2% and Treasury yields rising since June 2026, there is intense debate about when the Fed might start cutting interest rates, especially amid concerns about a record budget deficit.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolvido como 'Sim' se o Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) anunciar redução na taxa dos Fed Funds em qualquer reunião realizada entre 2026-08-20 e 2026-12-31, conforme comunicado oficial do Federal Reserve (federalreserve.gov). Caso contrário, 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.