Politics · Open for opinions
Will the US federal government pass specific legislation to regulate prediction markets before April 2027?
The CEO of Kalshi publicly stated that he wants more 'guardrails' (protection mechanisms) and pressure is growing in Washington and… 69 opinions, 88% No
- Yes — 12%
- No — 88%
Deadline: March 30, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 69 opinions
Resolution rules
The CEO of Kalshi publicly stated that he wants more 'guardrails' (protection mechanisms) and pressure is growing in Washington and in US states for industry regulation.
Source: www.pbs.org
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolvido como 'Sim' se o Congresso dos EUA aprovar e o presidente sancionar lei federal que regule explicitamente plataformas de mercados de previsão (prediction markets) até 30/03/2027, conforme registro no portal Congress.gov ou anúncio oficial da Casa Branca. Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 88% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 12 points, a wrong one costs about 88.