Crypto · Open for opinions
Will the total volume traded in US election prediction markets exceed $500 million by the November 2026 election day?
According to data reported by Reuters (via TradersUnion), more than $133 million has already been traded in certain election races… 22 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: November 3, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 22 opinions
Resolution rules
According to data reported by Reuters (via TradersUnion), more than $133 million has already been traded in certain election races by mid-August 2026, surpassing the 2024 cycle. Kalshi's integration with DoubleZero expands institutional access.
Source: tradersunion.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução com base em dados públicos agregados de volume de negociação reportados por Kalshi e Polymarket até 3 de novembro de 2026. Fonte: Reuters, CoinDesk ou relatórios oficiais das plataformas.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.