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Politics · Open for opinions

Will salaries of U.S. Congress members be increased by January 2027?

The Kalshi prediction market lists active contracts on salary increases for the U.S. 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: January 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

The Kalshi prediction market lists active contracts on salary increases for the U.S. Congress, with probabilities split between approval and rejection, reflecting ongoing legislative debate.

Source: kalshi.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve como 'Sim' se o Congresso dos Estados Unidos aprovar e o presidente sancionar legislação aumentando os salários de membros do Congresso, com vigência confirmada até 31/01/2027, conforme registro oficial no Congress.gov ou publicação no Federal Register. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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