Finance · Open for opinions
Which platform will show the highest total trading volume in Q4 2026: Kalshi or Polymarket?
A September 2026 comparison indicates that Polymarket leads in global liquidity and niche markets, while Kalshi stands out in… 25 opinions, 56% Polymarket
- Kalshi — 28%
- Polymarket — 56%
- Data not publicly available — 16%
Deadline: January 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 25 opinions
Resolution rules
A September 2026 comparison indicates that Polymarket leads in global liquidity and niche markets, while Kalshi stands out in US regulation and sports markets, making the Q4 2026 volume race relevant for the sector.
Source: www.si.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve com base em relatórios públicos de volume de negociação divulgados pelas próprias plataformas, por órgãos reguladores (como a CFTC para a Kalshi) ou por análises verificáveis de fontes como Dune Analytics (para Polymarket, on-chain) referentes ao período de outubro a dezembro de 2026. Se nenhuma fonte objetiva comparar os volumes, resolve como 'Dado não disponível publicamente'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Polymarket has 56% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 44 points, a wrong one costs about 56.