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Finance · Open for opinions

Will Brazil's accumulated IPCA inflation for 2026 exceed 5.5%?

The crisis at the STF and the political instability cited by Minister Durigan are putting pressure on prices and the exchange rate,… 33 opinions, 52% No

  • Yes — 48%
  • No — 52%

Deadline: January 20, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 33 opinions

Resolution rules

The crisis at the STF and the political instability cited by Minister Durigan are putting pressure on prices and the exchange rate, with potential inflationary impact through the end of 2026.

Source: economia.uol.com.br

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolução com base no IPCA acumulado de janeiro a dezembro de 2026 divulgado pelo IBGE (ibge.gov.br). O mercado resolve 'Sim' se o acumulado superar 5,5%, e 'Não' caso contrário. A divulgação ocorre tipicamente em janeiro de 2027.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 52% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 48 points, a wrong one costs about 52.

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