Finance · Open for opinions
Will the federal government meet the primary result target of the fiscal framework for the year 2026?
Lula publicly criticized fiscal control and defended more public investments for job creation (Instagram, 09/21/2026), signaling… 43 opinions, 65% No
- Yes — 35%
- No — 65%
Deadline: January 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 43 opinions
Resolution rules
Lula publicly criticized fiscal control and defended more public investments for job creation (Instagram, 09/21/2026), signaling pressure on public accounts. In 2025, the central government posted a surplus of 0.6% of GDP, but the outlook for 2026 is more uncertain.
Source: www.instagram.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se o Tesouro Nacional divulgar, no Relatório de Avaliação de Receitas e Despesas ou no fechamento fiscal de 2026, resultado primário do governo central dentro da banda estabelecida pelo arcabouço fiscal (meta de 0% do PIB com margem de tolerância de ±0,25 p.p.). Fonte: Tesouro Nacional (tesouro.fazenda.gov.br).
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 65% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 35 points, a wrong one costs about 65.