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Finance · Open for opinions

Will Ibovespa close higher in the week of the second round of the 2026 presidential elections (October 26 to 30)?

Market analysts reacted with optimism to the first-round results, expecting fiscal adjustment if Flávio Bolsonaro wins the runoff. 77 opinions, 65% Yes

  • Yes — 65%
  • No — 35%

Deadline: October 30, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 77 opinions

Resolution rules

Market analysts reacted with optimism to the first-round results, expecting fiscal adjustment if Flávio Bolsonaro wins the runoff. The financial market already signaled a positive reaction right after the first round.

Source: www.gazetadopovo.com.br

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Variação semanal do índice Ibovespa (IBOV) na B3, comparando o fechamento de 30/10/2026 com o fechamento de 23/10/2026. Resolve 'Sim' se a variação for positiva. Fonte: B3 ou Bloomberg.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 65% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 35 points, a wrong one costs about 65.

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