Finance · Open for opinions
Will the Federal Reserve raise interest rates by 25 basis points at the October 2026 FOMC meeting?
Polymarket data shows a 65% probability of a 25 bps rate hike at the October 2026 meeting, with $15 million in trading volume. 71 opinions, 66% Yes
- Yes — 66%
- No — 34%
Deadline: November 1, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 71 opinions
Resolution rules
Polymarket data shows a 65% probability of a 25 bps rate hike at the October 2026 meeting, with $15 million in trading volume.
Source: polymarket.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolvido com base no comunicado oficial do Federal Reserve (federalreserve.gov) divulgado após a reunião do FOMC de outubro de 2026. Qualquer aumento de exatamente 25 bps resolve 'Sim'; qualquer outro resultado (pausa, corte ou alta diferente) resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 66% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 34 points, a wrong one costs about 66.