Finance · Open for opinions
Will the gross debt of the General Government exceed 83% of GDP by the end of 2026?
In June 2026, the gross debt of the General Government reached R$ 10.8 trillion, equivalent to 81.9% of GDP, according to data from… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
In June 2026, the gross debt of the General Government reached R$ 10.8 trillion, equivalent to 81.9% of GDP, according to data from the Central Bank. Growing deficit projections fuel concerns about the fiscal trajectory.
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Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Dado oficial do Banco Central do Brasil sobre a relação dívida bruta do Governo Geral/PIB, divulgado na Nota de Política Fiscal em bcb.gov.br. Resolve 'Sim' se qualquer leitura mensal publicada até 31/12/2026 registrar valor acima de 83%; caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.