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Science · Open for opinions

Will Earth be hit by a G4 or G5 geomagnetic storm recorded by NOAA by February 2027?

A fleet of 17 spacecraft measured a coronal mass ejection (CME) from multiple points in the solar system, revealing the true extent… 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: February 22, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

A fleet of 17 spacecraft measured a coronal mass ejection (CME) from multiple points in the solar system, revealing the true extent of solar flares. With the Sun near the peak of cycle 25, extreme events continue to be closely monitored.

Source: www.yahoo.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolução baseada nos registros oficiais do NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center (swpc.noaa.gov). Considera-se 'Sim' se o NOAA registrar ao menos um evento de tempestade geomagnética classificado como G4 (severo) ou G5 (extremo) entre 25/08/2026 e 22/02/2027.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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