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Will the Federal Reserve raise the benchmark interest rate at the November 2026 FOMC meeting?

US CPI rose to 3.7% in September 2026 (compared to 3.4% in August), driven by the war with Iran and energy prices. 79 opinions, 52% Yes

  • Yes — 52%
  • No — 48%

Deadline: November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 79 opinions

Resolution rules

US CPI rose to 3.7% in September 2026 (compared to 3.4% in August), driven by the war with Iran and energy prices. Economists are divided on the possibility of a new monetary tightening.

Source: www.aljazeera.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolvido como 'Sim' se o Federal Reserve anunciar elevação da taxa dos Fed Funds na reunião do FOMC de novembro de 2026, conforme comunicado oficial publicado no site do Fed (federalreserve.gov). Caso mantenha ou reduza a taxa, resolve como 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 52% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 48 points, a wrong one costs about 52.

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Will the Federal Reserve raise the benchmark interest rate at the… — 52% Yes · VoxFi