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Technology · Open for opinions

Will Anthropic's market valuation at the IPO offer price exceed $60 billion?

The S-1 filed on 10/26/2026 exposes a corporate structure with special protection ('public benefit corporation'),… 87 opinions, 55% Yes

  • Yes — 55%
  • No — 45%

Deadline: April 20, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 87 opinions

Resolution rules

The S-1 filed on 10/26/2026 exposes a corporate structure with special protection ('public benefit corporation'), multibillion-dollar training costs for Claude models, and recognized risks — factors that directly influence the valuation assigned by investors in the IPO.

Source: imasters.com.br

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve 'Sim' se a capitalização de mercado total da Anthropic calculada pelo preço de oferta do IPO (preço por ação × total de ações) for superior a US$ 60 bilhões, conforme prospecto definitivo na SEC. Fonte primária: SEC EDGAR (formulário S-1/A com precificação final).

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 55% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 45 points, a wrong one costs about 55.

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