World · Open for opinions
Will the CFTC issue new formal rules for prediction polls by November 30, 2026?
Considers CFTC regulatory measures between 10/04 and 11/30 following strong political pressure and letters from state attorneys… 76 opinions, 61% No
- Yes — 39%
- No — 61%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 76 opinions
Resolution rules
Considers CFTC regulatory measures between 10/04 and 11/30 following strong political pressure and letters from state attorneys general.
Source: truthout.org
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 04/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 30/11/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a Commodity Futures participação Commission (CFTC) publicar formalmente novas diretrizes ou normas regulatórias sobre contratos de eventos e enquetes em seu portal oficial (cftc.gov) até 30/11/2026. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 61% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 39 points, a wrong one costs about 61.