Technology · Open for opinions
Will US federal regulators impose new restrictions on access for users under 21 on prediction market platforms by 12/31/2026?
CNN analysis revealed that users aged 18 to 21 traded an estimated $5.4 billion on Kalshi in 2026, amid regulatory debates over… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
CNN analysis revealed that users aged 18 to 21 traded an estimated $5.4 billion on Kalshi in 2026, amid regulatory debates over young adults' access to these markets (sources [1] and [5]).
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução como 'Sim' se a CFTC, SEC ou outra agência federal americana publicar regra, orientação vinculante ou ordem oficial (disponível no registro federal ou site da agência) impondo restrições de acesso específicas para menores de 21 anos em plataformas como Kalshi ou Polymarket até 31/12/2026. Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.