Finance · Open for opinions
Will the commercial US dollar (PTAX) exceed R$ 5.50 by October 31, 2026?
With the commercial dollar traded at R$ 5.22 on Valor Data as of 09/29/2026, the market monitors the effects of Brazilian electoral… 72 opinions, 78% No
- Yes — 22%
- No — 78%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 72 opinions
Resolution rules
With the commercial dollar traded at R$ 5.22 on Valor Data as of 09/29/2026, the market monitors the effects of Brazilian electoral uncertainty and US interest rate perspectives on the exchange rate.
Source: valor.globo.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve com base na taxa PTAX de venda do dólar divulgada pelo Banco Central do Brasil. Resolução 'Sim' se a PTAX atingir ou superar R$ 5,50 em qualquer dia útil de outubro de 2026; 'Não' caso contrário.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 78% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 22 points, a wrong one costs about 78.