World · Open for opinions
Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least once before the end of 2026?
Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh attended the Jackson Hole symposium without a clear position on inflation. 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh attended the Jackson Hole symposium without a clear position on inflation. With elevated PCE and the conflict in Iran keeping energy prices high, the market debates whether there will be room for rate cuts still in 2026.
Source: www.wsj.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) anunciar redução na taxa dos Fed Funds em qualquer reunião realizada até 31 de dezembro de 2026. Fonte: comunicado oficial do FOMC (federalreserve.gov).
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.