Politics · Open for opinions
Will the U.S. federal government enter a shutdown before December 1, 2026?
Prediction markets such as Polymarket are actively listing contracts on a possible U.S. 31 opinions, 65% No
- Yes — 35%
- No — 65%
Deadline: December 1, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 31 opinions
Resolution rules
Prediction markets such as Polymarket are actively listing contracts on a possible U.S. government shutdown in September 2026, indicating that the issue remains open and is a subject of speculation in the financial market.
Source: polymarket.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se o Office of Management and Budget (OMB) ou fontes oficiais do governo americano confirmarem paralisação (shutdown) do governo federal antes de 1º de dezembro de 2026. Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 65% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 35 points, a wrong one costs about 65.